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As Robert Hofler writes in Variety today, the Screen Actors Guild Awards are a better bellwether for Oscar acting nominations than the Golden Globes.
None of the 80 or so members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. will be casting nom ballots for the Oscars (announced Jan. 22), a fact that is not true of the 2,100 nominating SAG voters, who overlap heavily with the Academy membership of thesps. In other words, look to SAG, not the HFPA, to forecast the upcoming Oscar picks. ...
The big loser in the 2007 SAG sweepstakes, however, is a musical. "Sweeney Todd" failed to bring home a nom for its ensemble, as well as for leads Helena Bonham Carter and Johnny Depp. Also shut out is "Atonement," which has not fared particularly well with crix orgs but garnered three thesp noms from the Globes. ...
"Into the Wild" emerges as the big SAG winner. Maybe the foreign-journalist voters didn't respond to this very American road story, which got shut out in all major categories there. Or did the pic's notoriously PR-shy director, Sean Penn, simply not provide them enough press-junket obeisance?
Regardless, SAG went for their fellow actor's directorial work in a big way, giving "Into the Wild" more noms -- four -- than any other film.
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